Handing Out Draft Grades
Every year after the NFL Draft, grades are handed out to each team based on how successful they were during the preceding weekend. It's a pretty inexact science and grades vary quite a bit depending on who you talk to. Even though it is pointless to grade picks before they play a down in the NFL, it is fun to try and rate selections based on the strategy behind each pick. Although it would make more sense to wait two or three years to get a chance to see each player on the field, I certainly don't want to wait to throw my opinion out there.
Before I give my own thoughts on what I would grade the Detroit Lions' 2008 draft, first let's take a look at what the "experts" out there had to say.
I'll start first with probably the worst grader out there: Michael David Smith of the FanHouse. Here is what he had to say about the Lions' draft:
Lions: F
Even without a wide receiver until the fifth round, it was a typical Matt Millen draft, which is to say a bad one. To take Gosder Cherilus while Rashard Mendenhall was still on the board was a horrible decision in the first round. Trading up to take Kevin Smith in the third round doesn't make much sense either. They then used two more third-round picks on defensive linemen, Florida State's Andre Fluellen and Purdue's Cilff Avril, who looked better at the combine than they did on the field.
Millen is always at the bottom of the draft report cards, which is why the Lions are always at the bottom of the standings. Who do you think he'll take with the first pick next year?
Oh, Michael, if only you knew just how wrong you are. Opening with a line saying that this was a typical Matt Millen draft is about as incorrect as you can get. A typical Millen draft would have had the Lions taking the best player available in the first-round instead of actually thinking about what needs the team had. I'm just as surprised as anyone when saying this, but Matt Millen did actually strategize for a change rather than just go for the glamour pick.
Moving on in the above quote, Smith also criticizes the Lions for drafting Gosder Cherilus over Rashard Mendenhall, calling it a horrible decision. Once again, that is about as wrong as you can get. The Lions easily could have drafted Mendenhall and their running back needs for this draft would have been solved, but explain to me who Mendenhall would be running behind next season. Detroit had to find an offensive tackle, and since all the good ones were going so quickly in the first-round, the Lions just simply could not wait until a later pick. To get someone that has the ability to start, Detroit had to pull the trigger when they did, and it was the right move.
Finally, Smith says that trading up two spots to get Kevin Smith doesn't make much sense. On the surface, that is a true statement. I felt that way when it first happened as well. However, doing some research into the trade uncovered that the Rams had met with the UCF running back and he told them that he thought the Lions would draft him. Knowing that, the move makes perfect sense as Detroit moved ahead of the Rams. To put it bluntly, the Lions wanted to do everything possible to get their guy, and that's what they did.
I'm not even going to bother talking about Smith's criticisms of the two defensive line picks in the third-round as there is nothing to discuss. Those were picks made to address needs on the defensive line, and any criticism simply is unwarranted. You can give the Lions an average or even below average grade for their draft, but to say they had the worst one out of all 32 NFL teams, well, that's just pretty ignorant.
Changing gears from negative to positive, respected draft expert Rick Gosselin of the Dallas Morning News gave the Lions an A for what they did on Saturday and Sunday.
The Lions wanted to make this a defensive draft and selected three potential starters in the first three rounds. But their offense, the NFL's worst last season, may benefit even more from the arrival of OT Cherilus and RB Smith.
Moving down the grading scale, Fox Sports' John Czarnecki gave Detroit a B for their draft and correctly pointed out that Matt Millen finally may be understanding what the draft is all about.
Matt Millen seems to be getting a handle on this draft business. After wasting picks on wide receivers in years past, Millen needed a right tackle and got one in Boston College's Gosder Cherilus. Of course, Millen will be questioned for trading with Kansas City and giving them Branden Albert. With the loss of Boss Bailey, the Lions had a need for an outside linebacker, and Jordan Dizon averaged 13 tackles a game at Colorado. Millen loves his instincts and nose for the ball. Central Florida RB Kevin Smith was very productive in college and could move right into the lineup with always injured Kevin Jones no longer on the team.
ESPN's Mel Kiper only gave Detroit a C+ , but his description of the Lions' draft was filled with nothing but praise.
Gosder Cherilus is a right tackle who is an effective run-blocker, which is why the Lions drafted him in the first round. But third-round pick Kevin Smith is the key player in the Lions' draft class. Smith proved at Central Florida he could carry the load, and in my opinion, he'll be the Lions' starting running back in Week 1. Jordon Dizon is undersized for a middle linebacker, but he has a chance to be productive in Detroit's scheme, because he has the ability to cover the deep middle. Fullback Jerome Felton is more effective as a runner than a blocker, but he's a good value pick in the fifth round. Army safety Caleb Campbell went in the seventh round and is big at 229 pounds. Campbell could be an OLB if he puts on 10 to 15 pounds. Cliff Avril could be a decent pass-rusher, although he had only six sacks in 2007. DT Andre Fluellen flashed big-time ability early in his career at Florida State but never lived up to it.
Staying in the C range, the Sports Network also handed out a C+ to the Lions, whereas USA Today's Larry Weisman gave Detroit a C-. SI's Dr. Z didn't have a grade, but did include Detroit as one of the drafts he likes.
Personally, I would give the lions a solid C for their efforts this past weekend. After thinking about it for a few days, I'm really warming up to the Gosder Cherilus pick, and even the Jordon Dizon selection doesn't seem as bad either. I felt that the third-round was drafted excellently by the Lions, but there was lots of room for improvement in the fifth-round as I didn't like either of those picks. Finally, in the seventh-round, I obviously like the pick of Army's Caleb Campbell as I think he can make the team as a big safety or a small outside linebacker.
Although my grade was only a C, a better fifth-round easily would have pushed it into the B range. The Lions' draft could have been better, but overall, I really think Detroit did a solid job this past weekend in New York City.
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I give it a C-, heading the other way
Having a run blocking RT is nice, but there’s a reason that Matt Ryan threw 19 picks at BC last year, and it isn’t all his fault. His pass blocking, including Cherilus, was suspect, and that will be the case for Kitna this year. Sure, Mike Martz is no longer here, but that doesn’t make the lions into a run dominant team immediately.
Dizon….one comment I saw on him was that he was a cover two guy right up Marinelli’s alley….and as an aside, I just realized that the Lions and the Michigan wolverines both have head guys that could be referred to as Coach Rod, and I’m amused…..the problem is, in the very next sentence, Dizon was referred to as an overachiever. I’m guessing that means that what you see now is more or less what you’ll get, that he doesn’t have that much room to improve.
I like the Kevin Smith pick, even as I wish the Lions would pick a running back out of Oklahoma….the last couple of time, Sims and Sanders, they didn’t work out too badly, huh? Anyway, Smith was a stud but against what level competition? Didn’t half his output come when UCF was playing in the MAC? Or do I have my timeline mixed up?
Fluellen might be the key to this draft….i remember his name from like 2005, but then he disappeared. If he can regain what made him memorable back then, the Lions might have gotten a steal.
And Campbell….nice story, but he is after all a 7th rounder. Don’t expect much, is all I’m thinking. Hope he makes the team, if only for the human interest angle and the good PR for the Lions.
by ahtrap on
Apr 29, 2008 3:29 PM EDT
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Smith played in the C-USA
Click here for his game-by-game stats. As I pointed out the other day, against the toughest team on UCF’s schedule, Texas, Smith rushed for 149 yards and 2 TDs. The rest of the competition isn’t great, but considering how inflated his stats were, you can imagine that he would still probably be considered a great player if he was in a tougher conference.
Check out Pride of Detroit, SB Nation's Lions Blog
by Sean Yuille on
Apr 29, 2008 10:31 PM EDT
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Thanks
Thanks, Sean, for a thoughtful and insightful analysis of the various comments on the Lion’s draft.
For ahtrap…I think that you will find Dizon a strong addition to the LBs. Because he has “overachieved” doesn’t mean that there is no more potential. Through coaching, maturation, and bulking up a bit he can continue to “overachieve.” That label was put on him as a result of his “lack of ideal size and speed,” but not having the “experts” desired measurables don’t mean that he won’t be a player.
by alexkarras71 on
Apr 29, 2008 5:57 PM EDT
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Thanks
Yeah Sean, I’ve been meaning to sign up much sooner, this blog is by far the best Lions website there is on the internet….you should write for a newspaper or something…..
Anyways I thought the Lions draft was solid, and its gonna be hard to get an A, just because a lot of graders have given them A’s in the past with Millens picks, and its made them look pretty bad…..so now they just assume with Millen its a bad draft…......I am fairly impressed with this years draft, though I still doubt the defense has made enough improvement to make a huge change in the offseason…......The thing about the defense though is that I think the rank they recieved is slightly misleading…...with the exception of 3-4 blowout games, they played mediocre…...........On offense I think if Cherilus can better protect Kitna, and make it so he’s not the top sacked QB this year, the Lions offense could potentially take off.
by douglazz63 on
Apr 30, 2008 1:14 AM EDT
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Welcome to the site!
Thanks for the compliments.
Check out Pride of Detroit, SB Nation's Lions Blog
by Sean Yuille on
Apr 30, 2008 11:54 AM EDT
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Has any expert that is actually
on a sports site said similar things about the Lions and Gosder/Rashard?
I am curious because the Bears are universally applauded for passing on Mendenhall and taking Williams. The only possible reason to knock the Lions is if you think the pick was a reach.
Being Who You Thought We Were Since 2005!
by WCG on
Apr 30, 2008 8:52 AM EDT
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Most are fine with the pick...
...since they understand that Detroit needs to start building an offensive line. Sure, they could’ve taken Rashard Mendenhall, but he would have a crappy o-line in front of him. A few have called it a reach, which is true, but considering how fast offensive linemen were being drafted, Detroit had to make a move in the first-round.
Check out Pride of Detroit, SB Nation's Lions Blog
by Sean Yuille on
Apr 30, 2008 11:56 AM EDT
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I'm just relieved
we take a receiver in the first round…...I did want Otah instead of Cherilus, but I think he’ll do fine. Smith was a great pick. Overall, i think they did alright. But Millen still needs to go.
Witty Unpredictable Talent and Natural Game
by iDea on
Apr 30, 2008 11:42 AM EDT
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Fire Millen
That’s one thing we all can agree on.
Check out Pride of Detroit, SB Nation's Lions Blog
by Sean Yuille on
Apr 30, 2008 11:54 AM EDT
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My take
From the people that I have been talking to, who are by no means “experts,” I keep hearing that the Lions had a bad draft for not taking Mendenhall. I’m completely happy with the way the Lions drafted and I would have to give it probably a B-. I don’t think Mendenhall would have been a good pick simply because we don’t have the line for him to run behind. I like the Cherilus pick and I love the Smith pick. And as for how Cherilus played last year…I believe he was playing on the left side of the line if I’m not mistaken, so he was naturally out of his element. I think that he will be a huge improvement in the Lion’s running game and at least a modest improvement in the passing game. That’s just my two cents. GO LIONS!!!
by LVLionfan on
Apr 30, 2008 8:06 PM EDT
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Average draft
First of all, great blog! I found this place some weeks ago and now this is on my regular reading list.
As for the draft, I think it didn’t suck but it definately wasn’t a great one either. I would have preferred Detroit taking Jeff Otah instead of Cherilus but at least they didn’t pick a WR. The film I’ve seen of Cherilus makes me question his ability. His footwork in pass-pro is slobby and he plays kind of slow. I mean he’s almost 30 lbs lighter than Otah which should be visible in movement if nowhere else. I’ve only seen film of him playing on the left side, though, which might of course be a factor. Then again a 1st round pick should be able to adjust and play from both left and right side stances.
The Dizon pick I liked. I’m sick of hearing the lack of size comments. Size is a factor of course but adding weight through proper diet, training and medication is no biggie for guys with enough frame left (although some say Dizon has reached his maximum potential). Dizon is never going to be huge but he barely has any muscles in his body and can surely add some lbs. Besides there’s always Zach Thomas.
Kevin Smith has a lot of potential but he really needs to get some weight and power. I’ve never witnessed him breaking a tackle – not even on highlight clips. He seems to fall after every single half-assed arm or shoelace tackle. Obviously he’s quick, fast and elusive but that alone is not going to carry him on the next level. In the NFL you need to be able to find the lanes, break tackles and take the extra yard because you’re never going to find the kind of holes that offensive lines produce in NCAA.
The rest of the draft was pretty normal. Later rounds either produce good ones or not and it’s impossible to really say whether the picks were great ones or not. Getting depth is always a good choice obviously because you’re probably not going to find starters anyway. Personally I love the Jerome Felton pick, though. FB is definately a position I think highly of and Felton might become a good one. I also like Caleb Campbell for three reasons: he’s good, there are absolutely no character issues (except maybe positive ones) and I think he’s going to improve a lot on the next level. Army is different from other schools and although players there are pretty much as professional as you can get I still like to think that being able to concentrate on football 100 per cent is going to affect an Army graduate more than those from other big schools.
by Lapa on
May 3, 2008 8:38 AM EDT
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