The Monday Morning Microscope: Week 14
I'm going to have to take a bit of a mulligan for today's version of MMM. I am home from work nursing not only my own illness, but both of my little ones' as well. In fact, you'll have to forgive my lack of posting in general lately as it seems that life as a single, working father as finally caught up with me. Our new über-hectic schedule, complete with two hours of commuting each day to drop and pick up kids at sitters and pre-school, combined with cooking, cleaning and oh yeah, my other full-time job (the one that pays my bills)... and I think you get the picture. Actually, I am going to use this time to say that I've had fun writing MMM this year, but I simply don't have the time to do a regular column anymore. I will still try to post when I can, but Monday mornings are just becoming increasingly more difficult to try to push out content worth reading. So with that, today will be the last of the MMM series. Maybe by next year, circumstances will change and I can resume writing it if there is still a desire to read it.
As for yesterday's game... three words... "What - a - mess!" I think Sean's summary of the game yesterday was spot on. In my opinion, Kevin Smith was the only bright spot in a complete and utter drubbing at the hands of a mediocre 6-6 team. We played better against the Saints and Vikings... teams with a combined 24-2 record. I feel that the official race for the highest draft position has begun. With Stafford hopefully back next week, that should at least make the last three games entertaining and worth watching (although, the two home games will most likely be blacked out). After watching our defensive line get shredded yesterday, it's now about trying to get Ndamukong Suh in next year's draft. Both St. Louis and Tampa Bay got a thorough beating yesterday, so it doesn't look good. Right now, there are four teams in the running: St. Lous (1-12), Tampa Bay (1-12), Cleveland (2-11) and Detroit (2-11).
As far as I can tell, the current strength of schedule is ranked like this (without the Arizona vs. San Francisco game being played yet):
Tampa Bay: 117 - 91
St. Louis: 112 - 92
Detroit: 110 - 96
Cleveland: 108 - 100
Here is the breakdown of what each of these teams have left schedule-wise and our chances in surpassing them:
Cleveland:
|
Wk |
Date |
Game |
Stadium |
|
15 |
Dec 20 |
Arrowhead Stadium |
|
|
16 |
Dec 27 |
Cleveland Browns Stadium |
|
|
17 |
Jan 03 |
Cleveland Browns Stadium |
- So the Browns helped our cause with a big win over the Steelers on Thursday, as it appears that the win pushes us into 3rd place. The Browns have had a mini-resurgence since the loss to the Lions and it could translate into another win or two. They have a pretty easy schedule left and I think they could win at least one more game. That could come in any of the three remaining weeks, as both Jacksonville and Oakland have struggled on the road and Kansas City is well... Kansas City.
Tampa Bay:
|
Wk |
Date |
Game |
Stadium |
|
15 |
Dec 20 |
Qwest Field |
|
|
16 |
Dec 27 |
Superdome |
|
|
17 |
Jan 03 |
Raymond James Stadium |
- I feel much less warm and fuzzy about Tampa Bay on three different levels. First, it's much less likely that they win any of these games. It looks like Seattle on the road is our best bet... and I'm not sure I would take that bet. But I don't think one win is enough. Because of the goofy strength of schedule thing, I think Tampa Bay would need to win two more games to be 3-13 and Detroit finish at 2-14. Lastly, it also worries me that Tampa Bay is most likely to take Suh. I can't really see any circumstances where they pass on his immense talent. In order for us to get in front of Tampa Bay, it appears that they will have to take Seattle on the road and then (hopefully a Matt Ryan-less) Atlanta at home (although, I think Ryan will be back by then). Oh yeah... and Detroit still would have to lose their remaining games.
St. Louis:
|
Wk |
Date |
Game |
Stadium |
|
15 |
Dec 20 |
Edward Jones Dome |
|
|
16 |
Dec 27 |
University of Phoenix Stadium |
|
|
17 |
Jan 03 |
Edward Jones Dome |
- St. Louis still has to win another game either way, but the head-to-head loss does nothing for us (yeah... ridiculous). It would then come down to strength of schedule, where the Rams have us by two opponent wins. This could go a multitude of different ways and will be a week to week thing, but it still comes down to the Rams having to upset a team. I don't like those odds too much.
Detroit:
|
Wk |
Date |
Game |
Stadium |
|
15 |
Dec 20 |
Ford Field |
|
|
16 |
Dec 27 |
Candlestick Park |
|
|
17 |
Jan 03 |
Ford Field |
- The Lions only real hope for another win is the final game against the Bears at home. I don't think too highly of the 49ers, but it is a road game, so scratch that one. All things considered... the Bears game will be blacked out and the difference between 2-14 and 3-13 is negligible.
So here's the skinny... we need to root for Cleveland to just win one more and they are basically out of the picture altogether. We need St. Louis to upset Houston at home next week (and then have the SoS go our way) and the big one... Tampa Bay must have a revival and take down Seattle on the road and then upset Atlanta at home. Tall, tall order indeed. If the Rams can just upset Houston, that might just be enough for the 2nd pick and a shot at Suh, albeit it a long one. In the end though, Tampa Bay will most likely shaft us all.
Thoughts About the Game:
- I'll start with Culpepper's performance... or lack thereof. I'm not quite as down on him as Sean was, because he got little help from the line and his receivers, but he was borderline atrocious. The difference between the horrible interceptions thrown by Culpepper (and there should have been three of them) and the horrible ones thrown by Stafford is separated by 10 years of NFL experience... and that's the bottom line on Culpepper. Some of those decisions were just flat out rookie mistakes that a grizzled veteran can't be making. I'll say it for the umpteenth time... he's done in this league as a starter and maybe even as a back-up. He's certainly done in Detroit after this year.
- Jim Schwartz made a Marinelli-like error in not putting Stanton in at some point yesterday. This made no sense. The only thing I can figure is that this staff has no more faith in Stanton than the last staff. I can't understand this. Stanton must have just horrible practices (although, he's probably just running the scout team most weeks). He looked promising during the preseason and always seems exciting to watch. I don't know what's going on, but I can't believe that Schwartz is not smart enough to give Stanton a look while Matt is down. Big mistake, in my opinion.
- What a shame about Kevin Smith. The kid has played so hard the last few weeks and was really coming into form. If I was forced to place a bet on his injury... ACL, out for the year, might not be ready for next year's regular season. Some people might now get their wish for the Lions to take a back in this year's draft.
- The defense was an appalling train wreck yesterday. There's really nothing more to say about it. Where was that decent run defense that we've been seeing over the course of the year? The Raven's offensive line simply man-handled the Lions' defensive line. That line has to be priority number one in the off-season. More and more it looks like there are simply too many holes to fill in 2010 to make enough of a difference to be competitive. Players who we were pinning our hope to - like Avril, Cohen, Buchanon, etc. - all let us down this year. Personally, I was hoping that Avril, Hill, Cohen and White would turn out to be a defensive line worth fearing. Now, I think that Hill is the only one of those four that might be starter-capable. I'd love to see Hill and Suh next to each other. Yeah... that sounds good... :o) Okay, I'll admit my man-crush on Suh right now. It was about this time last year when my Stafford crush started, so I'm just going to go public with my infatuation this time around.
I've really enjoyed writing this column and I hope you've enjoyed reading it. Actually, this one ended up being much longer than I set out to write. It's just finding the free time that seems to shrink by the day. If and when Congress ever changes the length of day to 32 hours... I'm gold again. I'll try to post from time to time and stay a part of the POD community, but please forgive me if I disappear for days or weeks at a time. It's most certainly not because I don't want to or because my interest in the Lions is waning. Sometimes life just gets in the way.
Take care,
Drew
0 recs |
36 comments
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Comments
Drew
Your life does sound beyond hectic and I for one will miss MMM. I hope your able to resume next year but fully understand (and commend you) that family comes first, even before the Lions. Good luck with everything and try to get some sleep at some point in time.
One thing in your MMM that really rang true, at least to me. During the game yesterday we were all clamoring for Stanton. You point out that even as bad as the Marinelli regime was they never went to Stanton (there were enough opportunities given the sheer number of blowouts we were involved in.) The present staff, which I think is much more capabale that Joe Barry, Jim Coletto and Rod Marinelli (gosh has there ever been a worse coaching staff) still will not put Stanton in the game. I wish I knew why. At this point I can only concur that Stanton cannot play NFL football. Unless otherwise stated that’s my presumption………..which begs the question why have him here??? If he truly cannot be any better than CPep just cut him, let him try somewhere else.
I spray paint my dog Honolulu Blue and Silver
Pic - me vs. Bears fans
It also begs the question....
who will be our number two next year if Stanton is incapable? Do we have to draft someone and/or find another veteran back-up? Really doesn’t make a whole lot of sense to me….
Good point
Clearly he isn’t worth keeping around for a 3rd stringer so we go out and get a Rex Grossman or Kelly Holcombe??? No thanks. I don’t want to waste a draft pick on a QB though………….
I spray paint my dog Honolulu Blue and Silver
Pic - me vs. Bears fans
i am a stanton advocate, especially in opportune times like yesterday
but there is only one thing in my mind that stands to reason why he was not put in. in the preseason, if you recall, yes he was very exciting, mounting comebacks and all. but he seemed very out of shape…not weight wise, but conditioning wise. it seemed after about five or six plays into a drive he was huffing for oxygen. its a reach, but maybe all the no reps in practice have held him out of game shape conditioning wise. i gots nothing else. i really want to see him in there. in fact, i’ll say again, i’m not opposed to the lions sitting staff here on out…and letting stanton play.
I would favor sitting Staff too
He’s a hero right now – don’t damage his psyche by letting him lose 3 more games this year. In all seriousness that will never happen but still it would be a scenario I wouldn’t be opposed to.
I spray paint my dog Honolulu Blue and Silver
Pic - me vs. Bears fans
i agree it is likely not to happen
but, with a shoulder in his condition, and the fact we know he will get hit again…i would really hate to see this injury progress with another hit or fifty…instead of giving him the next 9mo’s basically hit free
let staff play
there is nothing to loose by letting him play…he looked downright miserable siting on the bench yesterday, and you can tell he is not the type of guy that likes the bench much.
About stanton: I think he deserves a shot at playing, at least a couple of series before we can completely conclude that he is a bust. he looked half-decent in the preseason ( and I know most ppl are gonna tell me that it was “just” preseason), but I think he showed all of us that he does have the physical skillset to play at this level, so its just a question of getting the mechanics right and getting the proper coaching.
The beginning of the end of the misery
I will miss your informative columns
also… one day the Lions will get it better.. at least they do spend the $$ … all we can do is watch…
Clearly the lines need to be fixed… fix the foundation then things will go up from here…
the Browns defense did look good without Rogers.. I was surprised.. they could win one maybe two games ..
I am at a loss for words.. Get better Lions!!! Jim and CJ hang in there….
GO LIONS in 2010! the transformation starts now.. they have much to do.
btw drew
always enjoy your reads…family comes first…always…well done sir…we will miss you & look forward to our limited access to your views :)
My thoughts on the Culpepper...
Seems (to me) that Schwartz was rubbing the puppy’s nose it in. Culpepper threw a tantrum the last time a start was taken away from him… Culpepper didn’t preform, so Schwartz made him stick it out.
….Grasping at straws here….
Most of you know my take.
I actually think you might have something here, CLF
It helps make sense out of not playing Stanton. Personally, I’d like to see the Lions release Culpepper today (along with a few other players). If Schwartz really wants to make a statement like he said in his post-game presser, this would be a good place to start. It’s not that I have something against Daunte personally, I think it just ups the possibility that Stanton gets reps if Stafford is unable to go.
+1
IF Schwartz doesn’t come through and release a few players this week I will be shocked. He can’t have his words ring hollow and lose this team for the future. If I were Schwartz I would release the following today:
CPep
The 2 douchebags who didn’t wrap up Derick Mason (White and Buchanon?)
someone from the D-Line
Prolly won’t happen but Schwarzy can’t talk tough and not do something about it.
I spray paint my dog Honolulu Blue and Silver
Pic - me vs. Bears fans
Not too pissed about that play... it was a freak happening...
Decent coverage. White knocked buchannon off of mason.
The attempts to arm tackle the RBs and specifically, the over pursuit of Jason Hunter and Ernie Sims were driving me insane.
and how does sammie hill get pushed 7yrds off the line???
that hit on mason knocks 50% of receivers out…agreed it was a fluke shot
not to mention the four tacklers that had mclain stopped for a four yrd loss only to let him go….guhfaw!!!
Great point about Hill
If that guy isn’t doing squats all summer long to get stronger I would be shocked. At that size he can’t be pushed around that easily. Get stronger Sammie FAST!!!!
I spray paint my dog Honolulu Blue and Silver
Pic - me vs. Bears fans
Great work
I just want to say that I really appreciate everyone’s hard work in keeping this site going, especially you single parents. Wow! That is a lot of work! You are way more organized than I will ever be.
Thanks for the great work Drew
Hopefully you find some time in the future to post again.
Pride of Detroit, SB Nation's Lions Blog
I guess i'm in a minority..
but i thought that was one of the better games the OL has played all season, Cpep had ample time to throw the ball on just about every play and all he did with it was either check down or under throw deep passes. Don’t get me wrong, i’m not saying the OL was great… just that it seemed a little better.
i agree
was there more than two sacks? cpepp had all the time in the world…no excuse for a pro with that kind of time to underthrow receivers be it on the deep ball or 10yrd tosses.
that said, ravens d is not the same…they haven’t mustered much if any of a pass rush all year.
Still...
Best rush defense in the league… Aren’t we near the bottom in rush offense?
Only one sack was given up by the Lions.
But on the third and shorts the Lions could not get a foot, much less two yards. The Ravens were run blitzing on those plays. That is from the #1 run defence [3.5 yards per carry allowed] in the NFL. Asking a lot for our line to overcome that. I would have liked to see some better play calling in those situations to loosen up the Ravens.
I agree with BCU, the O line was probably the best unit on the field. Damning them with faint praise.
Thanks Drew
MMM was one of the first posts I always read on Mondays. Loved your insight, and the way you structures your writing.
The beginning of the end of the misery
One question
If we and the Browns finish 2 – 14 each don’t we pick 4th since we beat them head-to-head??
I spray paint my dog Honolulu Blue and Silver
Pic - me vs. Bears fans
Great post, Drew
I really like MMM. It’s always a good, informative read. Best of luck to you and your family and I look forward to seeing you around here when you get a chance.
We’re not going to land Suh, folks. It’s time to scour for other upgrades
Take care of yourself and your kids, Drew
We’ll still be here sulking about the Lions when you get time to come back. :)
"A child of five would understand this. Send someone to fetch a child of five." ~Groucho Marx
Thanks, Jettero
I’ll be sulking right along with you… I just won’t always have the time to express it in print… :o)
Thanks a lot Drew
I’ve always loved your posts and I hope to see more in the future, but family comes first. Hopefully we’ll still see you around the threads, POD would be amiss without your input.
2009 = The start of the Lions Golden Age (We hope).
Zack Follett: he will hurt your mind.
Enjoy the Family
Im fairly new here and I’ve really enjoyed reading your post but Family always comes first go spend some time with them and be happy without grumbling about the Lions.. We’ll be here when you get back
Thanks Drew, excellent post
Good luck to you and your family.
What? He can’t block a dead gopher? Humph, details.

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