Matthew Stafford Scouting Report
QB Matthew Stafford (Georgia) - Round 1, Pick No. 1
No pick was discussed more among Lions fans than the selection of Matthew Stafford. That is mainly because we had months to debate who should be the top pick and no player was a clear cut choice. At least three different players could have been the top pick, and there was a large contingent of fans behind each potential selection. In the end, going against the majority of fans, the Lions decided to draft someone they hope will be their franchise quarterback, Matthew Stafford.
Experts' Opinions
Best trait per Scouts Inc.:
Possesses exceptional arm strength. Can make all the NFL throws and more. Excellent zip on deep outs. Can throw with elite velocity while on the run ? particularly when rolling out to his right. He fits the ball into more tight spots than most starting quarterbacks in the NFL right now.
POSITIVES: Strong-armed passer with a gunslingers mentality. Patient in the pocket, displays terrific poise, and always in control. Buys time for receivers, moves around behind the line of scrimmage to give himself a better view of the field, and remains calm as the pocket collapses around him. Senses pressure, displays the ability to elude the rush, and does a nice job protecting the ball. Possesses a great sense of knowing what's happening on the field, and shows a lot of toughness to his game. Stands in the pocket and takes the big hit in order to get the throw away. Quickly sets up in the pocket and throws with an over-the-top delivery. Zips the pass into receivers, and gets the ball through the tight spots. Does a good job with his defensive reads, recognizing blitzes and then quickly finding hot receiver. Natural looking off the safety. Powers the ball downfield and drives long passes. Consistently challenges the vertical game.
NEGATIVES: Puts the deep ball into double coverage on occasion. Lacks classic height for a pocket passer or franchise quarterback.
Final word: Physically, Stafford has everything a team would want in a quarterback. He has good size and an incredible arm. He has the strength to make any throw on the field and can read defenses. Didn't have the best offensive line or wide receivers around him. Improved his yards thrown, completion percentage and touchdowns every year. Still, though, Stafford has a little bit to go in regard to his decision making. With proper coaching, he could start as a rookie.
Videos
58-yard TD pass to Mohamed Massaquoi (2007):
2008 highlights:
More:
- More 2008 highlights, part 1
- More 2008 highlights, part 2
- Highlights against Georgia Tech (2007)
- Every pass against Georgia Tech (2008)
- Pass to Knowshon Moreno
- TD pass to Sean Bailey (preview of Stafford to Megatron?)
- Head butt against Florida
- "Know Your Dawgs" segment
Outlook for 2009
I expect to see Stafford play at some point during the 2009 season, but the best case scenario would actually be if he rode the bench for his entire rookie year. Although someone with such a big contract should probably actually play, it would be better if Stafford had an entire season to learn the system and gain experience without having to be thrown to the wolves, so to speak. He's got to play eventually, obviously, but if he doesn't see the field in 2009, chances are it is because Daunte Culpepper is doing well. If we never saw Stafford next season because Culpepper was getting the job done, I would be more than happy. Realistically, though, I think Stafford will get his chance to start around the halfway point of the season or around that time. If things really go bad, it could be even earlier. Let's hope that's not the case, though.
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It's nice to see...
objective scouting reports. Too often, the things you read about prospects are colored by what the “draftniks” have to say. The reports quoted above seem to be written from an unbiased scouting perspective. Great post, Sean. This is one of the reasons I’ve made this site my source for all things Lions.
It seems to me that Stafford is less of a bust risk than many “experts” would lead us to believe. However, I think you’re dead on in saying that he should sit this year, barring some sort of exceptional circumstances (and, as rob says, garbage time). If he can absorb the system this year under Culpepper, I have no doubt that he’ll be ready in 2010 to be the “face of the franchise,” as so many people like to say.
The Risk of Stafford Busting
There are three factors in the busting of a QB.
1. His own faults. ie. emotional maturity, intelligence, physical limitiations.
2. Supporting cast issues. Weak offensive line, poor receiving corps.
3. Poor coaching/utilization of his talents.
I personally think that Stafford has the first covered. In fact, he may very well be able to overcome the second factor on his own through perseverance and his own abilities. We know we have some improvements to make here, but frankly he will have some very good weapons and the offensive line is not as bad as has been made out.
The last factor is key. A lousy coach and an idiot offensive scheme can fail a QB or team faster and surer than anything.
I have a pretty good feeling about Linehan and Schwartz. Much better than Martz and Marinelli, or Mohrningweg and Marucci. I agree with Sean, Stafford will sit for at least half the year. I know a lot of people on this site are upset with his contract and maintain that he must play right away, but that would be like taking out a huge loan for a business then taking it to Vegas to try and double it. TOO RISKY.
Lets give Stafford every chance to succeed in the long run. Because if he succeeds, the Lions succeed.
Amen
I for one was against taking Stafford #1, too big of a bust risk.
Now that he is a Lion, do what it takes to reduce the risk of him being a bust. If it takes 2 years before he is ready, do it. The Lions have made a LONG TERM investment in M. Stafford, it is very dumb to play him before he is ready, and risk that investment.
That is what happened to Joey (amoung other issues).
Most importantly
He has #1 checked… A lot of our round 1 busts have been busts because of that reason alone.
Some observations
I think the video against GT from 2008 was the best one, since it wasn’t highlights. I wanna see what mistakes this guy makes since we know he’s got a rocket of an arm. Couple of things I noticed: he tends to be fairly accurate but under pressure will miss on some throws which is understandable; he missed a few easy passes which annoyed me a bit, there was one in which he missed a receiver who was only 3-4 yds away; he surprised me with his running ability, I’ve seen him run before but he shows some pace and he can take a hit, that’s a good thing. Overall, I liked what I saw from those videos.
Sidenote: It’s funny seeing your name on a jersey since my name is S. Bailey. Looks good I reckon ;)
2009 = The start of the Lions Golden Age (We hope).
Hopefully it’s just that his arm is stronger than his receivers are fast. Half of his balls thrown seem to be off target. On the other hand, he reminds me a lot of Roethlesburger, in that he runs around to buy time when needed, hard to take down, and throws a more accurate pass when hurried. He’ll be doing plenty of running around…
Nickname
In one of the videos (the one with the 58 yd td), the commentator refers to him as “The Mad Bomber”. I don’t know if he has an official nickname, but I think this one is AWESOME. I know he shouldn’t play in the first year, but I’m fully supporting this for his official nickname.
Daryle Lamonica of the Raiders in the Sixties was the original Mad Bomber
I hope we can come up with something new.
by NorthLeft12 on Apr 30, 2009 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions
How about the "$40 million dollar man"?
2009 = The start of the Lions Golden Age (We hope).
by Hyperion Ecta on Apr 30, 2009 7:12 PM EDT up reply actions
Pro Style Offense?
What classifies Georgia’s system as a pro style offense? It appears that 95% of his pass plays were out of the shotgun formation.
I was thinking the same thing
I think the spread offense runs from the gun formation, but with georgia, they ran a majority of their running plays under center.
No
there were a lot under center, it just seems the highlights look taht way.
Plus the spread gimmicky offenses have more to do with putting 4-6 WR on the field, having all the lineman in an upright stance too.
And also the BIG thing for most spread offenses, the QB has no control over pre-snap reads or audibiles. That is what Colt McCoy, Sam Bradford, Vince Young, etc…All do when they look to the sidelines.
Stafford didn’t do that.
Sean - excellent job
As a NYC-based die hard Lions fan I have to tell you that this is the best source of Lions news and information. Thanks Sean for doing this – your site is really quite comprehensive and, although feel the pain with you and other Lions fans, appreciate all the hard work that goes into this site, I’m sure.
Anyway – I completely agree with you about Stafford. I would LOVE to see fat-ass Culpepper actually play well, and lets hope he does (I hear he dropped 30 lbs). I would love to see Stafford and that big arm play and do really, really well. I can’t stand watching another first rounder get destroyed by the toxic Lions environment (A Ware, C Long, J Harrington, you know the history). I guess I wouldn’t care if the Lions went 0-16 again, as long as they’re competitive on the field and making progress, I would be happy.
One more question – any way you can put together, or try to organize, a Lions blog get together this year? I would love to fly out again and meet up with some Lions fans for a game or something. That would be cool. God knows tickets would be available.
0-16 again
I see the Lions making progress. We now have a Front Office that appears to have a solid plan and is following it, unlike Millen.
I doubt that the Lions will go 0-16 again, but if they did in the 2009 season, I can accept it, provided they are making progress to improve the talent of the Teams.
As another blogger had explained, the Lions are “taking the Best Player available for ANY need”.
NYCLions
I grew up in Detroit. I in in SF now. But in three months I will be making my move to NYC. Nice to know that I will not be the only Lions fan there.
JCruize
Awesome!! That will make 2 Lions fans out of 7 million people. I know there is a Steeler’s bar in the city but that’s the only team that has its own gathering here in NYC, at least that I know of.
I wouldn't be surprised if...
Stafford only played in the preseason and help the clipboard for the whole entire year, baring an injury of C.Pep
I would like to see
Stafford bought along the way McNair was. Play a couple of series in the third quarter. No matter what the score was. That way he can prepare himself. Instead of just waiting for garbage time.
I can't help but notice...
Stafford’s O-Line at Georgia was just awful. In almost every pass play, it seems like he has no more than 2 seconds to scan the field and make a throw before the defense reaches him.
Maybe I’m just being an optimist, but the fact that he put up the numbers he did with a line like that gives me a lot of hope that he will be successful here.
That's one of the reasons he was so well liked...
He was able to play well DESPITE the talent around him. He’s played since he was a true freshman and never had much of a team – something that hopefully changes over the years here.
Also, I saw a piece on ESPN on how Troy Aikman has mentored Matt. It sounded like Aikman was quite enamored with him and thinks he’ll do well. That’s a pretty good endorsement… I hope.
O-Line was terrible
and the worst conference to have a terrible O-line in was the SEC. Like Mocking the Draft said, he improved his completion percentage, YPA, and touchdowns thrown every year even with his bad O-line last year.
If he stayed at Georgia for his senior season he’d likely improve in all those categories this year. His real rookie season should be 2010. Like most here, I think he should sit for at least half of the year, preferably the majority of the season (or even the whole year).
The O-Line wasn't terrible....
……it was non-existent due to an unbelievable string of injuries. Indeed, with the killer speed of SEC defenses, if you don’t have a healthy O Line you wind up on your back all day. Still, as a Sophomore, Stafford directed UGA to a #2 finish.
His biggest problem is forcing balls into double coverage. If he can work on his accuracy, he has the potential to be the next Elway. Time will tell.
Good luck Matthew, and good luck Detroit!!!















