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Talking Fantasy Football Draft Strategy

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One of the things that have interested me with fantasy football drafts is watching the steps people take to assemble their teams. For example, some people are big on running backs and will spend their first few picks on strictly running backs. Others favor the quarterback position and will use a first-round pick on that position. Then you have the people that are big on receivers and go wild with that position and don't put a premium on QBs and RBs until later on.

Since I'm usually in a few leagues every year, I've tried to mix things up strategy-wise. Last year, one of my drafts focused on running backs first and other positions alter. Another had me draft a QB early on and then go through the other positions. The league I won the championship in (POD Main) featured a pretty balanced draft, as I went RB, WR and QB in the first three rounds, wanting to hit all of the big positions early on.

This year I'm planning on being in only one league, so I will have to settle on one strategy and just roll with it. I'm thinking it's best to just go with the balanced approach, making sure I get a solid running back in the first, maybe a top five receiver in the second and then find a quarterback in round three. I'm obviously not set in stone with any approach considering different things can play out on draft day, but in order to start some discussion on this Saturday afternoon, I was wondering what approach you all take. Do you focus strictly on running backs for the first few rounds, mix it up or just pick solely based on the best player available? Leave your thoughts on this subject in the comments.

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One thing I always keep in mind

is that there is no such thing as too many skill position players. Back up QB’s and TE’s and K’s and DEF’s are silly to keep. You never know what QB or TE will get hot or have the best match-up by the time your bye week rolls around. You DO know that one of your WR’s or RB’s are likely to get hurt for a week or two. Holding on to some RB’s and WR’s with potential (Steve Breaston, Clinton Portis, Santana Moss, and Malcom Floyd all come to mind) can your team keep moving along in case of injury to your key position players.

However, I do not endorse the RB-RB-RB-RB picks in standard 2 RB leagues. Even if you are getting great value, you’ve essentially drafted 2 players who will not accumulate points for you in the first 4 rounds. I know i personally don’t draft back-ups until at least the 6th (in a 12 team league) or 7-8th (in a 10 team league) unless some kind of freakish value occurs, and even when I do it’s only because guys I like at QB or TE will likely be available when I pick again.

by Chuseph on Aug 21, 2010 12:52 PM EDT reply actions  

Best Strategy that I have Found...

If you draft every position from your favorite team there is absolutely no way you can fail… Thats the greatest part of Matt Millen trashing our team is that no one is jumping on lions players.

Calvin Johnson is easily the hardest player to get ahold of, but if you do, your going to the CHIP!!! I mean after that you get some Stafford, Burleson, Best, K. Smith, MO MO, Pettigrew, Hanson, Sheffler, Felton, B. Johnson, Aaron Brown, and Derrick Williams. ****Sleeper Alert**** Timothy Toone WR… Some other GMs in your draft my ridicule you for pulling the trigger on Toone in the fourth round, keep focused dont let the laughter get you down… I mean you have to put all your attention into prayers that Dey Dey falls to you in the sixth.

Thats the one thing I dont like about Mayhew and Schwartz bringing our team out of the slums of the NFL. Its going to be harder and harder to pull this fail proof draft strategy off. I dont know if I can accept winning real NFL games when its going to directly effect my fantasy draft. I mean what am I gonna do whenever everyone is itching to pull the trigger on the Lions D.

by Gyorick on Aug 21, 2010 1:09 PM EDT reply actions  

I did play against someone who took all SF players.

Unfortunately, I didn’t play him during the Bye week.

by coolbreeze42 on Aug 21, 2010 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

nice...

I was going for a laugh but i guess im just an a**hole

by Gyorick on Aug 21, 2010 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

my strategy

I rank my players on what tier they are in. For instance, you have the top 4 rb’s in CJ, AP, MJD and RR. If I have 5th pick and those 4 are gone I’ll probably pick the top tier WR in AJ and then grab a RB in the 2nd rd. I don’t rank Turner and Gore in the same league as the other 4. Same with the QB position. If Brees, Manning, Rodgers, Romo, Brady and Shaub are gone after the 4th round, I’ll probably wait til late in the draft to pick up a Cutler, Ryan or Flacco.

by Ray Finkle-Matter on Aug 21, 2010 1:23 PM EDT reply actions  

One year I won due to the fact Antonio Gates had a monster season

 I usually go best reated player available without consideration fr position it usually gives me good trade bait to get a guy I missed a chance to snag Sometimes I reach and take the #1 rated overall at a starting position ( TE, Defense) sometimes I draft to mirror division opponents if a div rival gets A johnson and P Manning I may take Shaub and Wayne to try and cancel his chance to pull away on scoring.

by Wayne Fontes on Aug 21, 2010 1:31 PM EDT reply actions  

RB first

I always like a RB first. I try to find one that isn’t a RB by committee, MJD and Ray Rice are good examples. I also like RB’s with good hands for quick dump off plays.
After that, I look for WR/QB. If there is a run on QB, I will probably jump on one. The last 6 rounds, I will focus on rookie RB’s since there is always one that comes out of nowhere to become a stud. Oh, and def and K on last 2 rounds.

by coolbreeze42 on Aug 21, 2010 1:59 PM EDT reply actions  

Yeah, RB first

RB, QB, WR. There’s enough good WR’s who get touches to pick up a good one in Round 3 and 4.

Generally, this is how my rounds go:

RB
QB
WR
WR
RB
QB
K
TE
Fills

For some reason, people undervalue kickers and overvalue defenses. I like taking advantage of that by grabbing a good kicker that will get lots of opportunities two rounds before anyone else.

[...]when Giants coach Steve Owen, a certified defensive genius, was asked how he planned to stop Nagurski, he said: "With a shotgun, as he’s leaving the dressing room."

by NobodySpecial on Aug 21, 2010 4:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Downgrade RBs

Unless you are looking at a top tier every down type of back which is pretty rare these days I find myself snagging up the top WRs. RBBC and injuries really limit the value of running backs these day. By the time week 13-17 hits how many of those first 4 round RBs are still getting 20 if any carries per game? Certainly not as many as your top 4 round WRs which seem to still be pretty consistent. At the end of the season you always see running backs emerge out of nowhere, you just need to watch the waiver wire for them and keep riding on your stud Wideouts.

Say you pick toward the end of round 1 in a 12 team league. I’d much rather have a Andre Johnson, Calvin Johnson, Cedric Benson, Hakeem Nicks type of a team looking for a flier RB in the next rounds of the ilk of Best, Leon Washington, Bush, McFadden and even Kevin Smith to try and fill that RB2 slot; rather than have a Turner, Gore, Jackson, Nicks where you just know 1 of those 2 guys will be out down the stretch.

QBs beyond the top few are a dime a dozen and best played in a QBBC scenario in my opinion waiting one for one to breakout. Stafford should be picked up pretty cheap and would be good to pair with other potential breakout guys like Alex Smith, Matt Ryan and maybe even Carson Palmer. Big Ben can be had cheap too.

Never underestimate the power of the Schwartz! - The Great Yogurt

by cheyennejack on Aug 21, 2010 4:04 PM EDT reply actions  

Breakout RBs are easier to find

If you can grab a stud RB, absolutely do so, otherwise you will find more breakout RBs week by week down the stretch than you will find breakout WR. Breakout WR typically are seen coming along and there is competition to stash them on your bench before they are even good enough to start for your team.

RBs come out of nowhere frequently. I won a championship a few years back having started 13 different RBs including the likes of Ryan Torain and Peyton Hillis who had 2-3 awesome games and then went silent again. I’m sure a few teams one championships last year with guys like Arian Foster who closed the season with 262 yds, 3TDs and 3 catches in his last 2 games. Its hard to find a breakout WR off the waiver wire to do that for your team in the playoffs.

Never underestimate the power of the Schwartz! - The Great Yogurt

by cheyennejack on Aug 21, 2010 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

Your strategy is also determined by where you pick.

If you pick the #1 or 2 spot, then you really need to grab the top tier RB. Especially since you won’t pick again until 19 or 20 in a ten team leaque. The falloff in points is too steep after the first few. If your picking mid round or after, then the players that are available are more even in points.

by coolbreeze42 on Aug 21, 2010 4:22 PM EDT reply actions  

1st

figure out the basics..1 how many teams.. 2 draft position.. 3 roster spots (how many rb’s etc..) in the past 7+ yrs. playing multiple different type of leagues each yr. always in the top half of the league if not winning the whole thing. and the #1 thing that holds true draft evenly (ie..rb, wr, qb) if possible do rb then wr then qb but look at the value… I will tell you that many yrs i took mcnabb(and yes he was my main starter) in rd 4 or 5 and would still win cuz i was a monster at the other spots.. you never want to go heavy in 1 spot not even for trade bait due to the fact you may not find what you want or the right value for the guy you are trying to trade. plus you will find yourself 2nd guessing yourself.. like you have brees and peyton and 1 is playing OAK and the other is playing SEA.. pick 1 guy and run with him until bye week

Lions fan for life!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Here's me looking into the future at the Lions going to the Play-offs by 2011 and going to the Super Bowl in 2012!!!
I drink a lot of "spiked" blue kool-aid... Having no problem sharing cuz it sure is good!!!!

by lionsfan_772 on Aug 21, 2010 6:54 PM EDT reply actions  

+1

Never underestimate the power of the Schwartz! - The Great Yogurt

by cheyennejack on Aug 22, 2010 7:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Trends

I think its really important to keep track of what other people are picking b/c that should decide how you pick. For example, if a lot of rbs go early, then I will pick one up even if it is a reach. That would also tell me that I’m gonna get a solidQB later in the draft.

The beginning of the end of the misery

by Latif Masud on Aug 21, 2010 6:57 PM EDT reply actions  

I'm just gonna wing it

Go with my gut.

RIP Robyn Bailey 1961 - 2010. I love you mum.

by Hyperion Ecta on Aug 21, 2010 7:28 PM EDT reply actions  

When did Millen sign up for this site?

Lions fans deserve better than being the laughing stock of the NFL. Lets all hope they are heading in the right direction finally.

by joshsun on Aug 21, 2010 7:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

And with the #2 overall pick Matt Millen selects...

The Hamburgler?

“I was just going with my gut, that guy is going to bring a lot of beef to this team” -Matt “Grimace” Millen

Never underestimate the power of the Schwartz! - The Great Yogurt

by cheyennejack on Aug 22, 2010 7:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Draft Strategy

I’ve always tryed to go RB RB in the first two rounds but this year I’ve tried to get a elite receiver like Andre Johnson or Calvin in the first couple rounds cause the running back position really deep.

by Detroitsportsfan3 on Aug 23, 2010 4:49 PM EDT reply actions  

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