Video Review: A Wasted Opportunity By The Lions Offense
There was a key moment in the Lions-Falcons game last week. The Lions had just intercepted Matt Ryan, down by four early in the fourth quarter. The Lions were pinned deep at their own four-yard line and desperately needed to, at the very least, get a few first downs to flip the field position. Unfortunately, the Lions offense went three-and-out, punted and Atlanta drove down the field to push their advantage to seven. This was a great drive to analyze because it captures all that was good, bad and terrible with the Lions offense last week.
1st and 10 from own 4-yard line - Keiland Williams rushes for 8 yards
Follow along at the 8:20 mark below (via Sandman7773).
Here's what the play looks like in diagram form:
The Lions are in a rare I-formation. The give is to the fullback (Williams) while Stafford fakes the pitch to the deeper back, who is Stefan Logan in this play. That fake draws the outside linebacker outside, leaving a big gap. Dominic Raiola originally goes to help Rob Sims on the tackle, but upon seeing Sims has gotten in a favorable position, Raiola heads to the second level to take on the middle linebacker. Stephen Peterman and Gosder Cherilus take on the other tackle and easily force him out of the play. Meanwhile, the weak-side linebacker (who is actually a safety) runs outside and basically runs himself out of the play. This run could've gone for a lot longer, but Brandon Pettigrew fails to prevent the defensive end from busting inside quickly and getting a hand on Williams. Keiland does a good job of spinning off this tackle, but he has been slowed down enough for the weak-side linebacker to recover from his initial mistake and make the tackle eight yards downfield.
2nd and 2 from own 12-yard line - Williams rushes for -1 yards
Here the Lions line up with three tight ends, two to the left and one to the right. The run is to the weaker side, with the Falcons in a very tight 4-3 formation. A second into the play, you can tell it is already doomed to fail. Take a look:
The first thing I noticed was how every Falcons defender was committed to the run at the point of the handoff. If this play would have been play-action, the Falcons would have been in BIG trouble. The second thing that jumps out at me is Peterman. It appears he has locked arms with the defensive tackle and has been turned around, preventing him from getting to the middle linebacker, who has read this play easily. Finally, the cornerback on the near side is fully committed to the run and beat Calvin Johnson to the inside. The middle linebacker and the corner are there to meet Williams in the backfield. In my opinion, this is a missed opportunity by Scott Linehan to try and run a misdirection play, as the Falcons were extremely vulnerable on this play. Of course, that's much easier to say now.
3rd and 3 from own 11-yard line - Matthew Stafford pass to Will Heller is incomplete
Empty backfield, four wideouts. The non-numbered receiver is Titus Young, but he's fairly insignificant on this play. Stafford's first read is to the left side of the formation. Pettigrew and Johnson are running similar routes, but Johnson runs his a little deeper. Because the cornerback lined up against Pettigrew backs up at the snap, it appears Brandon is likely open enough to convert the first down.
However, I have a sneaking suspicion that Stafford was looking at Johnson this play. I can't know that for sure, of course, but he appears to be eyeing Johnson, and if he saw Pettigrew at this point, it's hard to imagine him passing up that opportunity. This screenshot is taken immediately before Stafford gets happy feet and looks to his right. On that side, Will Heller has released while the linebacker on him is attempting to run to where he believes the play is going. Nate Burleson gets in his way and leaves Heller wide open. Unfortunately, Stafford has scrambled himself into trouble and instead of stepping into his throw, he stands flat footed and just misses Heller. The pass was likely catchable, but it would've been tough to stay inbounds.
This play breaks down mostly because of Stafford. He could've made the pass to Pettigrew and it would have been very close to a first down. But Stafford also had the opportunity to hit Heller. As you can see above, Stafford did not have to escape the pocket when he did. If he would've stayed composed, he could have stayed where he was, step into his throw and given Heller plenty of time and space to turn upfield and get the first down. Unfortunately, none of those things happened and the Lions suffered another three-and-out.
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Amari Spievey
making the great play on the errant throw by Ryan, yes, I DVRed this game and I agree with your assessment. Of course, Brandon Pettigrew dropped that 4th down pass and Jacquizz Rodgers sealed the game, the Lions had every chance to win, no doubt in my mind my Broncos have to give maximum effort to win Sunday
Brad James
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With Coach Zorro on our side, we will slice opponents to ribbons. Tim Tebow gives me hope and I already have faith and charity in my heart! I see a propitious future rife with Lombardis for our Broncos!
by the new Bradfather on Oct 27, 2011 5:42 PM EDT reply actions
Nice job sims
but I’m sad now. I think I’m going to grow out my bangs and cut myself.
It's turkey, Lions and Macy's. Any other combination is just ludicrous.
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so it would cut itself….
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Hello everyone and fuck Mark Sanchez count: 40
Also
that 4th and 2 when Atlanta would have been forced to punt, but Louis Delmas held
Brad James
Follow me on Twitter
With Coach Zorro on our side, we will slice opponents to ribbons. Tim Tebow gives me hope and I already have faith and charity in my heart! I see a propitious future rife with Lombardis for our Broncos!
by the new Bradfather on Oct 27, 2011 5:53 PM EDT reply actions
That was deadly. I feel as though the game was teetering at that point, coulda went Detroit's way.
That goddamn Okra and beans got you Oprah in jeans. Seems to me a little lean cuisine, wouldn't hurt much- Agh don't touch! -Obie Trice
Fuck Jim Harbaugh.
Great break down
now I need another beer
"I like to win all the time, so all the time I play with myself."
Good breakdown, but
I think the real wasted opportunity came in the 1st quarter after Wright intercepted Ryan and we couldn’t get it into the end zone from the ATL 15 yd line. Could have set the tone for the game right there, didn’t get it done because of 2 consecutive sacks.
No slogans. Just win!!!
Detroit got two picks that game- flushed both of them.
..the continual lack of proficiency and execution by the offense was pretty glaring. I was pissed.
That goddamn Okra and beans got you Oprah in jeans. Seems to me a little lean cuisine, wouldn't hurt much- Agh don't touch! -Obie Trice
Fuck Jim Harbaugh.
There's a difference between getting the ball at your own 4 yd line and getting it at the opp's 15 yd line.
In the first case, you’re happy if you can dig yourself out of a hole. Anyway, simscity just covered what happened after the 2nd pick in this post.
No slogans. Just win!!!
They're still possessions.
and sorry I missed Sims’ analysis, I skimmed the post at times.
That goddamn Okra and beans got you Oprah in jeans. Seems to me a little lean cuisine, wouldn't hurt much- Agh don't touch! -Obie Trice
Fuck Jim Harbaugh.
Lions haven't been out played
They have killed themselves 2 straight weeks like any young up and coming team and lost by a score or less to 2 good teams. I’m not worried about them, they will annihilate the Broncos.
Good breakdown
I felt this was a game we could have won and i was mad about it, until i watched that colts game. I remember three to four years ago, teams used to mercilessly march up and down the field on us. when was the last time that we could say our defense kept us IN a game? our d has kept us in games this year, we just need to find a running game. I still believe!
by big smoove on Oct 27, 2011 9:23 PM EDT via mobile reply actions
Another wasted opportunity
Good Breakdown. Another wasted opportunity is signing Eldra Buckley as there depth back. I’m still stuck on Joique Bell and wish we would steal him from NO practice squad.
Great Breakdown
You asked me to let you know what I think, and so I will. On the first run, Williams was able to get 8 yards because Raiola actually DID his job for once in his life. He chipped the right DT so that Sims could wall him off, Backus walled off the RDE, and Williams broke the tackle attempted by the LDE. Peterman also got off the ball for once, getting enough of the LDT so that he was forced outside, where Cherilus picked him up. Cherilus’ assignment was the LDE, but since he became engaged with Peterman’s assignment, as Peterman fell on his face, Pettigrew was forced to try blocking Cherilus’ assignment (the LDE). Had Williams not spun out of the tackle, this play would have also been stopped at the line of scrimmage. However, the O-line did a good enough job that with one move, Williams was able to spring forward for 8 yards.
The second down run play should have been a pass play, as you said. The Falcons were all over the run on that play, and the run blitz was on. Peterman whiffed, Raiola got blown off the ball, Cherilus and Heller failed to wall the LDE to the outside, and Sims inexplicably released to try to block a LB, thereby leaving the RDT running free into the backfield. With Raiola blown backwards and engaged, there was nobody there to pick up the RDT. However, Williams was able to run past him. Backus and Pettigrew or Scheffler doubled the RDE, effectively blocking him out of the play, and Sims got to the ROLB, but that left both the MLB and the LOLB free to make the play in the hole (which they did easily with CJ getting beat to the inside by the corner (who assisted on the tackle as well).
Again, this has nothing to do with whether or not Keiland Williams or Maurice Morris are effective running backs. It has to do with a piss poor play call and a complete breakdown of blocking by the offensive line, TEs, and Calvin Johnson. The play itself was not effective, because of the lack of blocking and because of the fact that Atlanta was reading run the whole way.
That said, a yard was lost on the play…bringing up a seemingly easily manageable 3rd and 3. Matthew Stafford’s nervousness and inaccuracy were the eventual downfall of the drive, as he had a WIDE OPEN Brandon Pettigrew to throw to for the easy 1st down. He was too busy eye fucking Calvin Johnson however, as you said, and failed to progress quickly enough through his reads as a result. By the time he started doing his best Joey Harrington impression, it was too late to make the throw to Pettigrew, and so he threw it to Heller (which was the emergency release valve on the play) underneath. Unfortunately, his pass was way off the mark and Heller had no chance to make the play.
I think the last play was designed for Calvin Johnson, but for whatever reason Stafford did not attempt to throw the ball up to him. Clearly he was in single coverage and had a chance to beat the corner on a jump ball. Since he did not make the attempt to go to Calvin, he should have immediately thrown the ball to Pettigrew. However, by the time he looked off to Grew the ROLB was already starting to cheat up to cover him and Stafford was too afraid to throw it to him. He felt the pressure, and started doing the happy dance. Titus Young was covered by the MLB and was running right to left across Stafford’s field of vision (right toward the ROLB). There goes 3 options. That left Burleson, who was originally double covered on the outside by the LOLB and the LCB, and Heller, who was releasing underneath. Burleson took the linebacker with him, and the window was small for Heller. Being his only choice, Stafford threw the ball…errantly. Thus the 3 and out.
I agree with your assessment. Stafford should have stayed in the pocket and made a good pass to Heller. He didn’t, and the Lions failed once again to convert on 3rd and short. This had nothing to do with the effectiveness or ineffectiveness of the running backs/running game. It had everything to do with bad play calling and a young, inexperienced QB.
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3rd downs.
I know somewhere in the 4th quarter we had only converted 1 3rd down the entire game anyone know how many we ended up converting by the end of the game.
1 for 12
8%
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One thing to add
I don’t disagree with the analyses above (especially the poster and KDawg), however I want to mention that there is an added element – Stafford was probably a little extra nervous because he was on his own 10 yard line. He has to be very careful to not throw a pick this close to the endzone (imagine your breakdown if this had gone for a pick 6). My guess is that the hope was to hit Calvin deep and get down field, but he would be hesitant to just throw it up for grabs. He definately looked too late for Pettigrew, but by the time he did he wasn’t willing to throw into a tight space (something he is certainly capable of, but has been picked off before). The breakdown (or appearance thereof) then caused a nervous Stafford to take the safe pass, but he executed poorly.
This doesn’t change much, but if there is a silver lining it is that he didn’t make a bad decision and let the Atlanta defense have a score (or even better field position than they ultimately got).
Where are we going, and why am I in this handbasket?
excellent points
I’m just a little weary of Stafford second-guessing himself. I understand his hesitancy deep in his own zone, but I’d like to see him trust himself anyways.

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