FanPost

Difference in Yards per Play (offense vs defense)


Okay about 2 months ago a Yahoo Sports editor put out an article regarding how SF is not a Super Bowl champion team because the difference in yards per play on offense vs defense was below half a yard per play. I then calculated it for all of the teams a couple of times after that article. I also checked the past 11 Super Bowl teams and found that it is fairly correct. However teams above a yard per play have lost a lot of super bowls in fact only Pittsburgh back in '08 ever won with it above 1 yard per play, it was 1.02 yards. I should also mention the .5 is not a line in the sand I would consider four tenths a yard to be more correct line. Also only one team ever won the Super Bowl with an average in the negative. It was NE -.39 yards and St. Louis 1.95 yards per play back in '01. Okay well here is the info sheet updated from the games of Week 15.

Team Off Plays Off Yards Def Plays Def Yards Off Yards/Play Def Yards/Play Difference
Pittsburgh 887 5220 843 3876 5.89 4.60 1.29
Houston 930 5284 824 3890 5.68 4.72 0.96
New Orleans 981 6394 884 5125 6.52 5.80 0.72
Philadelphia 916 5610 845 4583 6.12 5.42 0.70
Dallas 892 5470 846 4668 6.13 5.52 0.61
Baltimore 922 4788 873 4030 5.19 4.62 0.58
San Diego 921 5460 829 4586 5.93 5.53 0.40
Detroit 920 5322 914 4964 5.78 5.43 0.35
Green Bay 866 5569 903 5569 6.43 6.17 0.26
Oakland 897 5244 947 5303 5.85 5.60 0.25
New England 932 5968 931 5801 6.40 6.23 0.17
Cincinnati 879 4481 890 4397 5.10 4.94 0.16
NY Giants 907 5392 924 5391 5.94 5.83 0.11
Tennessee 858 4593 944 4995 5.35 5.29 0.06
Carolina 899 5503 839 5108 6.12 6.09 0.03
Atlanta 939 5129 841 4581 5.46 5.45 0.02
Arizona 853 4488 955 5012 5.26 5.25 0.01
San Francisco 854 4304 854 4355 5.04 5.10 -0.06
Miami 866 4494 900 4748 5.19 5.28 -0.09
Washington 893 4613 870 4658 5.17 5.35 -0.19
NY Jets 879 4284 879 4451 4.87 5.06 -0.19
Seattle 872 4227 908 4578 4.85 5.04 -0.19
Chicago 851 4376 926 4943 5.14 5.34 -0.20
Denver 878 4515 947 5093 5.14 5.38 -0.24
Buffalo 868 4871 866 5173 5.61 5.97 -0.36
Minnesota 878 4585 902 5125 5.22 5.68 -0.46
Cleveland 906 4125 895 4674 4.55 5.22 -0.67
Kansas City 895 4257 869 4759 4.76 5.48 -0.72
St. Louis 888 4257 912 5036 4.79 5.52 -0.73
Indianapolis 810 3971 954 5391 4.90 5.65 -0.75
Tampa Bay 845 4497 894 5450 5.32 6.10 -0.77
Jacksonville 874 3588 848 4303 4.11 5.07 -0.97

Okay teams in the Red have a very little chance to Win the Super Bowl. Teams in Orange have an outside shot. Teams in Blue could do it but they are sitting on the outside shot. Teams in Green have the best shot. Lastly Pittsburgh is too high of difference. I should also mention that Philly and Dallas only one of them can get into the Playoffs. I prefer the Giants to be honest.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Pride Of Detroit or its writers.

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