FanPost

Respect... At least from Vegas...

http://www.bloggingtheboys.com/2011/8/1/2308845/2012-super-bowl-odds-after-one-week-of-nfl-free-agency

 

Bloggin' the Boys put together this chart from Sportsbook.com

 

 2012 Super Bowl Odds

 

Team & Rank per April 20, 2011 per July 25, 2011 per July 31, 2011 Change
1T Patriots 20.0% (5/1) 16.7% (6/1) 16.7% (6/1) -3.3%
1T Packers 20.0% (5/1) 16.7% (6/1) 16.7% (6/1) -3.3%
1T Eagles 6.7% (15/1) 8.3% (12/1) 16.7% (6/1) 10.0%
4 Colts 8.3% (12/1) 11.1% (9/1) 10.0% (10/1) -1.7%
5T Steelers 11.1% (9/1) 10.0% (10/1) 8.3% (12/1) -2.8%
5T Jets 8.3% (12/1) 8.3% (12/1) 8.3% (12/1) - -
5T Falcons 6.7% (15/1) 8.3% (12/1) 8.3% (12/1) +1.6%
5T Saints 6.7% (15/1) 8.3% (12/1) 8.3% (12/1) +1.6%
9T Chargers 8.3% (12/1) 8.3% (12/1) 6.7% (15/1) -1.6%
9T Ravens 8.3% (12/1) 8.3% (12/1) 6.7% (15/1) -1.6%
11T Lions 2.5% (40/1) 4.0% (25/1) 5.0% (20/1) +2.5%
11T Cowboys 6.7% (15/1) 5.6% (18/1) 5.0% (20/1) -1.7%
11T Giants 6.7% (15/1) 6.7% (15/1) 5.0% (20/1) -1.7%
14T Buccaneers 3.3% (30/1) 3.3% (30/1) 3.3% (30/1) - -
14T Chiefs 3.3% (30/1) 3.3% (30/1) 3.3% (30/1) - -
14T Texans 2.9% (35/1) 2.9% (35/1) 3.3% (30/1) 0.4%
17T 49ers 3.3% (30/1) 2.5% (40/1) 2.5% (40/1) -0.8%
17T Bears 5.0% (20/1) 3.3% (30/1) 2.5% (40/1) -2.5%
17T Dolphins 2.5% (40/1) 2.5% (40/1) 2.5% (40/1) - -
17T Vikings 2.5% (40/1) 3.3% (30/1) 2.5% (40/1) - -
21T Cardinals 1.3% (80/1) 2.0% (50/1) 2.0% (50/1) +0.7%
21T Raiders 2.0% (50/1) 2.0% (50/1) 2.0% (50/1) - -
21T Rams 2.0% (50/1) 2.0% (50/1) 2.0% (50/1) - -
24T Broncos 1.7% (60/1) 1.7% (60/1) 1.7% (60/1) - -
24T Browns 1.7% (60/1) 1.7% (60/1) 1.7% (60/1) - -
24T Jaguars 1.7% (60/1) 1.7% (60/1) 1.7% (60/1) - -
24T Titans 1.7% (60/1) 1.7% (60/1) 1.7% (60/1) - -
28 Seahawks 1.3% (80/1) 1.3% (80/1) 1.3% (80/1) - -
29T Redskins 1.7% (60/1) 1.7% (60/1) 1.0% (100/1) -0.7%
29T Bengals 1.7% (60/1) 1.0% (100/1) 1.0% (100/1) -0.7%
31T Bills 0.7% (150/1) 0.7% (150/1) 0.7% (150/1) - -
31T Panthers 0.7% (150/1) 0.7% (150/1) 0.7% (150/1) - -

Obviously, the odds are adjusted for where the money is going, and not necessarily a reflection of true team strength. But it is interesting to see the dynamic over the last few months and how teams' odds have fared through the draft and free agency. The table above shows the Vegas odds for each team just prior to the draft (April 20), prior to free agency (July 25) and per yesterday, after almost a week of free agency. In principle, that allows us to look at how successful the draft and free agency is perceived to be by the betting money.

The Draft: Overall, the draft didn't move the odds for many teams. Notable exceptions are the Lions and Cardinals, who saw significant changes in their odds, and both teams did draft well, at least at the top of the draft. The Eagles, Colts, Falcons and Saints all saw a slight improvement of their odds after the draft, while the Cowboys dropped a little.

Liking this... We are basically right outside of the favorites.. And you have to believe if it weren't for the massive improvement of the Eagles, our chances would be even better.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Pride Of Detroit or its writers.

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