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2012 NFL Draft Prognosticating

2012 NFL Draft Prognosticating – Detroit Lions

The Detroit Lions will draft the best player available. Last year, Nick Fairley slipped to the Lions at #13, and Mayhew & Co. didn’t hesitate to cross the next highest rated player off of their board. Don’t expect anything different this season.

Clearly, the Detroit Lions need help at CB, S, OL, and could use further depth at LB. The offensive line is an underrated pass protection group, but struggled to create holes between the A and B gaps. The biggest concern here isn’t last season’s production, but rather the potentiality of a drop off due to age.

The secondary struggled, but injuries to Louis Delmas, Aaron Berry, and Chris Houston down the stretch didn’t help the unit remain cohesive. Still, to win our division (necessary and plausible going forward), we have to find a way to slow down the Green Bay Packers onslaught of weapons. Currently constituted, we don’t have the pieces to consistently do that. Safety Amari Spievey looks entirely out of place.

Stephen Tulloch and Justin Durant were key additions. Frankly, not enough is mentioned regarding Durant’s solid play; though not flashy, Durant made plays. Stephen Tulloch struggled in the playoff loss to New Orleans, but nonetheless remained the glue to our defense all season long. Reliable, quick, and intelligent, a case could be made for Tulloch being more of an offseason priority than Avril.

This leads me to potential Lions draft picks, round-by-round.
Possibilities abound. Trading out of this spot with Baltimore at #29, or San Francisco at #30 may be options, and if a player entices the Lions enough, don’t be surprised if they trade up. Remember, Mayhew wanted CB Patrick Peterson, but the Cardinals decided to stand pat, ultimately landing the top flight corner and return ace.

The Ravens will be looking for Ray Lewis’ long-term replacement, and may fear LB Vontaze Burfict would be gone at #29, though character concerns make this unlikely. The 49ers need a WR and CB. If they fall in love with one particular player they fear the Lions might take (think CB Chase Minnifield, who fits the Niners mold), they might swap first and second round picks with us, and potentially throw in their 6th round pick. Due to the depth at offensive line, it may behoove the Lions to think along these lines.

RD 1 – PICK 23
MY PICK: OG CORDY GLENN – GEORGIA

Glenn played with Matthew Stafford at Georgia, but that isn’t the reason he’s my pick. According to cbssports.com, “Cordy Glenn enters his senior campaign having started 36 games at left guard, right guard and left tackle. Scouts aren't only impressed with his versatility, they're left in awe at the athleticism demonstrated by the 6-5, 338 pound mountain of a man.”
The New Orleans Saints have shown what powerful guards, Jahri Evans and Carl Nicks, can do for an offense. Stephen Peterman picked up his play when the Lions signed OG Leonard Davis, but he’s 30 years old and surely hasn’t proven to be the mauling interior presence the Lions ground game will need next season. Furthermore, the Lions were fortunate this season to not have any key injuries along their line. The football gods may not be as kind going forward, adding to the importance of a versatile, athletic offensive lineman.

SLEEPER PICK: DE WHITNEY MERCILUS – ILLINOIS
I love this guy. Last year I was hoping for Ryan Kerrigan or JJ Watt, both productive their first year. Not enough gets made of guys with high motors, heart, and a “crazy edge". Whitney Mercilus possesses each of these attributes. Was he a one-year wonder? Yes, he was. So were Jason Pierre-Paul and Aldon Smith. If Uncle Cliff wants too much, and he might, you have to begin to look at potential additions. Even if he stays, Kyle Vanden Bosch can’t play forever.

RD 2 – PICK 54
There are a few names that stand out here: LB Bobby Wagner, RB Doug Martin, CB Leonard Johnson, CB Dwight Bentley, and G Kelechi Osemele. I don’t think Osemele is still around, but could you imagine Glenn and Osemele in rounds 1 and 2?
I suspect Janoris Jenkins, Alfonzo Dennard (overrated), and Dre’ Kirkpatrick are gone. We need help at corner, and there is one guy that fits our mold…

MY PICK: CB LEONARD JOHNSON – IOWA STATE
Johnson is fiery, has solid ball skills, an attitude, and is excellent in run support and as a tackler. This guy is going to be a very good NFL corner. Sign Cortland Finnegan (born to be a Lion, and a Detroiter), and draft CB Leonard Johnson.

SLEEPER PICK: RB DOUG MARTIN – BOISE STATE
Teach me how to “Dougy.” Doug Martin has been compared to Ray Rice and MJD. If he’s close, he may be worth the selection. However, if Best is good to go, this shouldn’t be the selection.

RD 3 – PICK 86
MY PICK: OT MITCHELL SCHWARTZ – CALIFORNIA

RD 4 – PICK 117
MY PICK: CB DWIGHT BENTLEY – LA. LAFAYETTE

RD 5 – PICK 150
MY PICK: WR JORDAN WHITE – WESTERN MICHIGAN

RD 7 – PICK 202
MY PICK: LB DANNY TREVATHAN – KENTUCKY

ROAR.
By: Dustin J Quarrella

Poll
If the Lions decide on an offensive lineman in round 1, and each of the following players are available, who would you prefer?
Cordy Glenn
40 votes
Mike Adams
44 votes
Peter Konz
69 votes
Kelechi Osemele
0 votes

153 votes | Poll has closed

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Pride of Detroit or its writers. FanPosts are valued expressions of opinion by passionate and knowledgeable fans.

Comment 28 comments  |  2 recs  | 

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Right there with ya.

2013 Superbowl Champion Detroit Lions
R.I.P Tom Kowalski. You will be sorely missed.

by LionTarHeel on Feb 4, 2012 4:54 PM EST reply actions  

I voted Konz

I believe Konz will go after Glenn in the draft. I am not sure the Lions would take Konz at 23. Right now I am a big fan of Glenn and Konz over say Adams, but I fear the Lions would pass on Konz unless they trade to a later pick. Which would be a really slick move.

by Northern Lite on Feb 4, 2012 5:59 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

I'm 50/50

I went Glenn I love his versatility but I don’t think he will be there at 23 personally. Sonz seems more likely to be the pick which I am more than happy with.

ROAR Offically Restored ! 12/24/11
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PCP 4 LIFE

by The Profiler on Feb 4, 2012 6:25 PM EST reply actions  

Glenn didn't impress me against MSU

Konz can backup center while playing guard. I don’t see anyone else with that type of flexibility on the board.

Glen could never handle the speed rushers in the NFL. He’s a guard, that’s it and if you want to see how he is against good competition watch him against the MSU defensive line.

Konz was far better against MSU.

by rekar on Feb 4, 2012 10:55 PM EST reply actions  

I voted for Adams, as BPA, but I doubt he is there @ #23

I think Konz is less of a stretch, and a good choice. But who knows what Mayhew will do. It will a draft day decision, based on what transpires in the first 22 picks and who’s left on the board.

Lion fan in the Great Land!

by AlaskaLion on Feb 5, 2012 12:44 AM EST reply actions  

if mike adams macke it to the 23pick in the 1rd and peter konz is thier too it will be ahard call for the lions gm but ijust do not think both players will be thier in this draft ..but icould sea the lions trade dowen in this draft as you posted .but if they stay at the 23pick in the 1rd icould sea them going for a rb if one falls maybee l .miller or doug martin rb boise state or david wilson rb virgina teck .or kelechi osemele og iowa state .as for cordy glenn great player but i voted adams as he the most ready to start out of the offensive linemen in your post as he is ranked the 4best ot in this draft ihave him long gone before the lions draft but we can all dream cant we .

by kwfords on Feb 5, 2012 12:57 AM EST reply actions  

Kwfords

Good observation, seems like alot of OL talent in the draft. Not sure the Lions will select one as BPA at 23 but good to see we have options.

by Northern Lite on Feb 5, 2012 2:52 AM EST via mobile up reply actions  

I do not think the Lions will draft an interior lineman very high

with Sims, Raiola, and Peterman all still under contract for at least two more years. The only OL I feel the Lions could draft that high is a OT given that fact I do not think that Schwartz is very high on Gosder. He tried to replace him at the beginning of this past season. Hilliard just proved to be even worst. If Mike Adams can come in and push for playing time at RT this season. He could be the pick.

Sorry Konz and Gordy fans, I just do not see either of them coming here to Detroit and pushing Raiola or even Peterman out in the next two seasons. The Lions will draft someone at #23 that will make an impact in the 2012 season, not in the 2014 season.

Charles Aaron "Bubba" Smith 1945 - 2011 R.I.P.

by JCruize on Feb 5, 2012 5:23 AM EST up reply actions   1 recs

Agreed JC. Teams just don't pick players in the first round to sit on the bench.

Unless they are QBs, and even then the great majority start in their first year. If the Lions take an O Lineman, look for him to be starting by the fourth or fifth game, if not earlier.

"I’m sorry for all the people who want us to run the ball 40 times a game, but we’re going to put the ball in No. 9’s hands and he’s going to make plays for us like he did today," Lions coach Jim Schwartz said. Amen to that Jim!

by NorthLeft12 on Feb 5, 2012 7:51 AM EST up reply actions  

Konz

Mayhew and Co. couldn’t resist the best TE in a draft class who was the complete package at #20. How can they pass on the best C in a class, who will most likely be an all pro OL, and is the complete package at # 23?

“You build a team front to back and down the middle.” Well, coach Schwartz, here is your chance.

by Lionsickness on Feb 5, 2012 11:01 AM EST reply actions  

because he (Konz) will not replace Raoila in year 1 or even year 2

or even replace Peterman.

Charles Aaron "Bubba" Smith 1945 - 2011 R.I.P.

by JCruize on Feb 5, 2012 12:07 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't see why not

He already makes the line calls in a pro-style offense and has faced several top pro prospects and handled them with ease. Plus he will be cheaper for a few years. I have watched him several times for entire games and would argue he is superior to both already.

Sentiment does not win championships. Ford Jr. said as much in the three part series he just did on Lions.com. He noted the Patriots. Players that were untouchable a year ago can become expendable over night. Maybe the Lions don’t value O-linemen enough to draft them in the first round. But to say he is not better than both those guys is false imo.

by Lionsickness on Feb 5, 2012 1:19 PM EST up reply actions  

We have to address the line

Until we do we wont have a running game.

by Usmarine0341 on Feb 5, 2012 2:22 PM EST up reply actions  

I disagree to a point

I think the quality of the RBs have something to do with the lack of a running game as well.

Charles Aaron "Bubba" Smith 1945 - 2011 R.I.P.

by JCruize on Feb 5, 2012 5:15 PM EST up reply actions  

quality and health

of the RB’s is an undeniable factor. And it’s not coincidence that CJ was on his touchdown spree when JB was healthy because the threat is viewed differently by the opposition. At least two coaches openly admitted in the first six games last year that he was their first target.

by Lionsickness on Feb 5, 2012 6:07 PM EST up reply actions  

no but when you are voted the team's "Best O-lineman of the Year" again...by the players and coaches

I doubt a rookie will come in and be able to take his job away from him. And I doubt that Mayhew and Schwartz will be looking to draft someone at #23 so they can sit until Dom’s contract is up.

Can not be to bad of an offensive line if it just a 23 year old QB throw for over 5000 yards and 41 TDs. What you need to get past is that while you may not think highly of Raiola, the Lions coaching staff does. By the time Raiola’s current contract extention is over, he will be in the top 5 of highest paid centers in the NFL.

Charles Aaron "Bubba" Smith 1945 - 2011 R.I.P.

by JCruize on Feb 5, 2012 5:12 PM EST up reply actions  

I don't have a problem with Raiola

He is a proven commodity, reliable and durable (the one scare on Konz) and makes the right protection calls from what the coaches say. Does he deserve the amount of money he will be making? I don’t think so.

I just think if you can pay a dominant center less than what you are paying a pretty good or ok center that you need to make that move. And make no mistake, Konz is plug and play.

Do I think the Lions will draft OL in round one? No. I just think it is not in their general philosophy, not for the reasons you are stating.

by Lionsickness on Feb 5, 2012 5:52 PM EST up reply actions  

Janoris Jenkins

covered AJ Green and Julio Jones in his time spent in Florida. Save Olinemen for later.

by BtotheLT on Feb 5, 2012 2:05 PM EST reply actions  

Many of your Picks agree with mine

However my player picks come a bit earlier than yours. If you draft with the idea that your picks should be good enough to start (and not ride the bench for 1 to 2 years), you come up with something like this:

Round 1) Mark Barron (S, Alabama), if gone, Whitney Mercilus, if gone, Peter Konz

Round 2) Doug Martin (RB, Boise St), if gone, Markelle Martin (S), if gone Brandon Boykin (CB, Georgia)

Round 3) Coryell Judie (CB, Texas A&M), if gone Phillip Blake (C, Baylor)

Round 4) Akiem Hicks (324 lb DT Regina)

Round 5) Danny Trevathan (LB, Kentucky)

Now if you pick up Cortland Finnegan in Free Agency, you have greatly upgraded your defense with DB’s who can actually cover and a linebacker who is a tackling machine. The Lions could really use upgrades at the safety positions – more so than cornerbacks. To be able to pick up both Mark Barron and Markelle Martin would make it look like a completely different (better) defense. In addition, you have upgraded your defensive line – since the Lions will either loose Cliff Avril or start to see a decline in the production from the aging Kyle Van de Bosch. What do y’all think?

Lions management pin this mock draft to your bulletin board!

by murfken on Feb 5, 2012 2:26 PM EST reply actions  

I also like

I also like the pick of Mitchell Schwartz (OT, California) in the 2nd round. He is good enough to be a potential starter. He will not last until the 3rd round at the Lions pick.

by murfken on Feb 5, 2012 2:30 PM EST up reply actions  

pretty solid... I like.

Charles Aaron "Bubba" Smith 1945 - 2011 R.I.P.

by JCruize on Feb 5, 2012 5:16 PM EST up reply actions  

yeah

that is a pretty solid layout and pretty close to how I figure the FO will see it actually. Although I still think Boykin will slip to the 75-85 range

by Lionsickness on Feb 5, 2012 6:01 PM EST up reply actions  

dick heads bitch about grammer

good write up. I really like Doug Martin. After reading the post that showed the statistics of 1st round CBs who have made the pro bowl, I’ve turned away from drafting a CBs in the first round. Go OL in the first round unless a play maker is available that you can’t pass up. Mayhew will work his magic. In Mayhew we trust.

Boykins would be nice….can’t wait to cut Logan. (3rd round)
I like Adams out of OSU
Upgrade at TE, more athletic. Tony Shaff and those terrible celebrations can go!

by gachr on Feb 6, 2012 7:22 PM EST reply actions  

Uh, Scheff is one of the more athletic TE's in the entire league...

Eric Wright and Aaron Berry live #Regan

When anyone says, "I’ll kick your ass" its implied that they’ll be using Hanson’s leg. -Leonuro

I have a twitter: Follow Me

by Bighaircut on Feb 6, 2012 9:13 PM EST up reply actions  

I support upgrading at TE.

But to get rid of Will Heller, not Scheffler.

"You've got to respect your opponent, no matter who it is. You respect him best by going out there and beating him up." - Calvin Johnson

by Mavyrk on Feb 7, 2012 1:38 PM EST up reply actions  

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