FanPost

A Lengthy Review of Jim Schwartz's Record, Adjusting for Team Record.

Arizona: 3-13, 7-9, 5-11, 4-12, 6-10, 5-11, 5-11, 8-8, 9-7, 10-6, 5-11, 8-8, 5-11

Carolina: 7-9, 1-15, 7-9, 11-5, 7-9, 11-5, 8-8, 7-9, 12-4, 8-8, 2-14, 6-10, 7-9

Cincinnati: 4-12, 6-10, 2-14, 8-8, 8-8, 11-5, 8-8, 7-9, 4-11-1, 10-6, 4-12, 9-7, 10-6

Cleveland: 3-13, 7-9, 9-7, 5-11, 4-12, 6-10, 4-12, 10-6, 4-12, 5-11, 5-11, 4-12, 5-11

Detroit: 9-7, 2-14, 3-13, 5-11, 6-10, 5-11, 3-13, 7-9, 0-16, 2-14, 6-10, 10-6, 4-12

Houston: --, --, 4-12, 5-11, 7-9, 2-14, 6-10, 8-8, 8-8, 9-7, 6-10, 10-6, 12-4

Jacksonville: 7-9, 6-10, 6-10, 5-11, 9-7, 12-4, 8-8, 11-5, 5-11, 7-9, 8-8, 5-11, 2-14

Kansas City: 7-9, 6-10, 8-8, 13-3, 7-9, 10-6, 9-7, 4-12, 2-14, 4-12, 10-6, 7-9, 2-14

Miami: 11-5, 11-5, 9-7, 10-6, 4-12, 9-7, 6-10, 1-15, 11-5, 7-9, 7-9, 6-10, 7-9

Oakland: 12-4, 10-6, 11-5, 4-12, 5-11, 4-12, 2-14, 4-12, 5-11, 5-11, 8-8, 8-8, 4-12

San Francisco: 6-10, 12-4, 10-6, 7-9, 2-14, 4-12, 7-9, 5-11, 7-9, 8-8, 6-10, 13-3, 12-4

St. Louis: 10-6, 14-2, 7-9, 12-4, 8-8, 6-10, 8-8, 3-13, 2-14, 1-15, 7-9, 2-14, 7-8-1

I was chatting with BillySimsMadeMeDo about Jim Schwartz, and it got me thinking about coaching performance in context to taking over bad teams. The teams I've listed above have all had at least 3 consecutive losing seasons since 2000. Teams in bold will be discussed below, while teams that are scratched out do not provide a good example of a coach who has taken over for a losing team (either by lack of sample size, or inconsistent records year-to-year).

If you'd like to skip to the point, go to the last paragraph.

Arizona and Oakland have been closest to the Lions' level of ineptitude, both having 7 consecutive seasons of below .500 play (the Lions had 10 consecutive seasons of losing football, from 2001-2010). Arizona had two coaches over that span, Dave McGinnis, who went 17-40 in 4 seasons, and Dennis Green, who went 16-32 in 3 seasons.

One good coach to look at, in comparison to Schwartz, would be Ken Whisenhunt. He took over the Cardinals in 2007, lasted 6 seasons, and finished with a 45-51 record (a significant improvement over his predecessors).

Oakland, on the other hand, went through 5 head coaches in their 7 seasons of losing football, Bill Callahan (15-17), Norv Turner (9-23), Art Shell (2-14), Lane Kiffin (5-15), and Tom Cable (17-27). It's hard to compare Schwartz's coaching career to Hue Jackson's or Dennis Allen's based on the small sample size, so I won't. But it's important to note the short patience of Oakland's Front Office (Cable and Jackson both managed 8-8 seasons).

San Francisco and St. Louis have both had 6 consecutive losing seasons since 2000. The Rams are currently still streaking, so we can't exactly draw a comparison to them, but they've had 5 head coaches since 2005 (8 seasons). San Francisco's change of fate was largely due to the coaching change from Singletary to Harbaugh. Dennis Erickson, Mike Nolan and Mike Singletary combined for a record of 45-82 over 9 seasons. Harbaugh has been 24-7 with his team.

Houston, who began play in 2002, has had 5 consecutive losing seasons and 2 head coaches in that span. Dom Capers (18-46), and Gary Kubiak. Kubiak took over a team with 4 consecutive losing seasons. His record after 5 seasons was 37-43. It is now 59-53. That's an increase of about 8.5% in two seasons, Kubiak's 6th and 7th.

Marvin Lewis took over a team in Cincinnati that was 12-33 in the 3 seasons before his arrival. He has been at or above .500 in almost every season, with 2 poor seasons mixed in there (2008 and 2010), totaling a 79-80-1 record. The Front Office's patience has paid off, since the Bengals have been in the playoffs the past two seasons.

The Jacksonville Jaguars had three losing seasons to start the new millenium, leading to the hiring of Jack Del Rio (68-71). Del Rio had three bad seasons out of nine in Jacksonville, his first in 2003, 2008, and his last in 2011. Del Rio replaced Tom Coughlin, who was 68-60 in 8 seasons in Jacksonville. In New York, Coughlin is 83-61 in 9 seasons.

So basically, some good coaches to compare Schwartz to are Ken Whisenhunt (45-51 in 6 seasons), Tom Cable (17-27 in 2.75 seasons), Jim Harbaugh (24-7 in 2 seasons), Gary Kubiak (59-53 in 7 seasons), Marvin Lewis (79-80-1 in 10 seasons), and Jack Del Rio (68-71 in 8.75 seasons). The first thing to notice, is that most of these coaches got a fair shake. They lasted at least 6 seasons (with the exceptions of Cable and Harbaugh). What Harbaugh has done in San Francisco is remarkable. He's certainly the outlier in this case study. The rest of the coaches have been a handful of games below .500 to this point. Kubiak may be 59-53, but if you'd read above (I don't blame you for skipping that part), you'd have seen that he was 37-43 through 5 seasons. That is the bar we should be comparing Schwartz to (approximately a 47% winning percentage). Currently he is 22-42, about 7 games off pace. With that said, it would seem that Schwartz SHOULD be on a tight leash. Although, none of the teams I compared had 10 consecutive seasons of atrocious football, including a winless season. That's got to account for a couple games at least, right? The point is, fans are right to demand more of Schwartz. Did you know Wayne Fontes, widely considered the best coach the Lions have had that most of us can remember watching, was 66-67? You'd have to go back to 1972 to find a Detroit Lions coach who had a winning career record, having coached at least 1 full season in Detroit.

This is a FanPost and does not necessarily reflect the views of Pride Of Detroit or its writers.

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