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Mad Stats Week 2: Projecting the 2017 Detroit Lions season

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We’ve decided to narrow our stats projection to include the second week of Lions play. Is it any more accurate?

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images

I’ll admit it, our previous stats projection was a bit unrealistic. I mean, all I did was take the team’s stats for Week 1 and multiply it by 16. That’s not realistic at all! You know what is more realistic? Taking the team’s stats through Week 2 and multiplying it by eight. It’s like, twice as realistic. So without further ado, let’s jump into Mad Stats Week 2! As usual, all stats via Pro Football Reference.

Offense

Matthew Stafford

496 Attempts

352 Completions

71% Completions

3,312 Yards

48 Touchdowns

8 Interceptions

40 Rushing Attempts

296 Rushing Yards

Matthew Stafford ends up with fewer touchdowns than our last projection, but still nearly hits the NFL record anyway. He ends up more efficient taking care of the football, however, notching only eight interceptions in 16 games.

Rushing

Ameer Abdullah

259 Attempts for 928 Yards and 0 TDs at 3.6 YPC

24 Receptions for 88 Yards at 3.7 Y/R

Dwayne Washington

72 Attempts for 248 Yards and 0 TDs at 3.4 YPC

No Receptions

Theo Riddick

80 Attempts for 152 Yards at 1.9 YPC

72 Receptions for 352 Yards and 8 TDs at 4.9 Y/R

Ameer Abdullah’s strong showing against the Giants’ top-tier rush defense showed good things, and it nearly doubled his projection as a rusher. Theo Riddick gets some positive yards while Dwayne Washington sees a drop-off.

Receiving

Golden Tate

112 Receptions for 1,056 Yards and 0 TDs at 9.4 Y/R

16 Attempts for 56 Yards and 0 TDs at 3.5 YPC

Kenny Golladay

40 Receptions for 616 Yards and 16 TDs at 15.4 Y/R

Marvin Jones Jr.

24 Receptions for 512 Yards and 16 TDs at 21.3 Y/R

TJ Jones

16 Receptions for 256 Yards and 0 TDs at 16 Y/R

Eric Ebron

56 Receptions for 408 Yards and 8 TDs at 7.3 Y/R

Interestingly, Marvin Jones’ projection barely moved. He gets fewer receptions for nearly the same amount of yards and TDs. Tate is as stable as ever while Kenny Golladay sees a bit of a drop. Eric Ebron sees a huge jump in production in this projection after a strong Week 2 showing.

The Defense

Linebackers

Jarrad Davis

120 Tackles, 8 Fumble Recoveries, 8.0 Sacks

Tahir Whitehead

104 Tackles, 8 Interceptions, 8 Pass Deflections

Tahir Whitehead: cover linebacker? Whitehead has bounced back from a poor 2016 so far, but the rookie Jarrad Davis makes a strong case for DROY as a playmaker in this projection.

Defensive Line

Ezekiel Ansah

56 Tackles, 24.0 Sacks, 8 Forced Fumbles

Anthony Zettel

56 Tackles, 8.0 Sacks

Haloti Ngata

16 Tackles, 8.0 Sacks

A’Shawn Robinson

40 Tackles, 8 Forced Fumbles

Akeem Spence

24 Tackles

Jeremiah Ledbetter

24 Tackles

Jeremiah Valoaga

16 Tackles

Cornelius Washington

0 Stats recorded

Ziggy Ansah went from okay to phenom in one week’s worth of projections. Haloti Ngata and Anthony Zettel round out a strong showing from the defensive line, but this is mostly the Ziggy show. The biggest surprise of these projections I think is Cornelius Washington. The free agent acquisition has been playing well, but has yet to record even a single tackle.

Defensive Backs

Cornerbacks

Darius Slay

72 Tackles, 24 Pass Deflections

Nevin Lawson

32 Tackles, 8 Pass Deflections

DJ Hayden

24 Tackles, 8 Pass Deflections

Quandre Diggs

48 Tackles, 24 Pass Deflections

The corners have yet to notch an interception, but the group as a whole continues to get their hands on footballs. Darius Slay getting 24 finger wags is going to need its own highlight reel.

Safeties

Glover Quin

88 Tackles, 16 Pass Deflections, 8 Interceptions, 8 Forced Fumbles

Tavon Wilson

56 Tackles, 8 Pass Deflections, 8 Interceptions

Miles Killebrew

48 Tackles, 24 Pass Deflections, 8 Interceptions for 8 TDs

Glover Quin continues to be in the running for DPOY with a strong projection from Week 2. The safety pairing of Glover Quin and Tavon Wilson is shifting to Quin and Miles Killebrew, much to fan’s excitement.

Final

Through Week 2, do these numbers look any more realistic projected out? Who do you think will come close to these exaggerated projections and who do you think will fall far short? Let us know in the comments, or give us a stats prediction of your own.