It only takes a quick glance at our weekly staff predictions to see that this 2018 Detroit Lions team has been wildly unpredictable. Get blown out by the New York Jets to start the year, beat the New England Patriots just a couple weeks later. Run for 248 yards and 7.1 YPC in Miami, come back to Detroit and run for 34 and 2.6. Trade for one of the best run stoppers in the league one week. Send the YAC King packing the next.
It’s been disorienting for Lions fans, and it’s why our FanPulse confidence graph looked like this last week:
Of course, there’s a big dip coming after Sunday’s loss to the Seahawks. In fact, confidence has dropped all the way to 36 percent—a 50 percent plummet from last week.
But when a team has been so hot and cold, it’s almost impossible to predict what will happen each Sunday. Every week, we ask Lions fans to predict the margin of victory (or defeat) in the upcoming game, and then average out each vote. That average pick has been wrong in six out of seven games. If you’re a more visual learner, here’s what that looks like:
Lions fans collectively only predicted Week 7’s victory over the Dolphins correctly. Every single other game, fans have been off.
It’s hard to blame them given how inconsistent this team has been, and it’s only likely to continue. After the Golden Tate trade, it’s hard to know what this team’s goals are in the immediate and if they will still be able to contend in the final two months of the season.