Pro Football Focus seems to pride itself on being different. Their opinions are often tied to their own signature stats, and that tends to make them the maverick of NFL analysis.
That is extra true for their draft coverage. They consistently have dissenting opinions of some of the bigger NFL Draft prospects. There’s nothing inherently wrong with that. In fact, it’s probably good for the draft community, which tends to be a bit of a hivemind at times.
However, when they create a seven-round mock draft based on their own analysis, it tends to create a jarring effect. PFF will be the first to tell you that, insisting that their mock drafts are not intended to be predictive, but simply what they would do if they were general managers of each franchise.
Here are the Lions’ picks:
Round 1, Pick 20: LB Tremaine Edmunds
Round 2, Pick 19 (51 overall): RB Derrius Guice
Round 3, Pick 18 (82 overall): C James Daniels
Round 4, Pick 17 (117 overall): EDGE Lorenzo Carter
*Trade down from 5-16 to 6-1. Picks up extra Cleveland 6th rounder*
Round 6, Pick 1 (175 overall): TE Cam Serigne
Round 6, Pick 27 (201 overall): DT Will Geary
Round 7, Pick 19 (237 overall): CB Dane Cruikshank
The first thing that sticks out is that the Lions arguably got first and second-round talent in their first four picks in the draft—all of which fill a pretty serious need. Derrius Guice is a popular pick for the Lions in the first round, so getting him in the second would be great value. Both Iowa center James Daniels—PFF’s second highest graded center—and Georgia edge defender Lorenzo Carter are considered legitimate Day 2 options for the Lions.
And that’s not even addressing the Lions’ first-round pick of Virginia Tech linebacker Tremaine Edmunds, who many consider a top 10 talent in the draft. Linebacker may not be the biggest of needs for the Lions, but a versatile player like Edmunds could be just what Matt Patricia ordered. Edmunds can do just about everything: rush the passer, stop the run and even look good in coverage.
PFF rounds out the draft by adding a few players in positions of need. Wake Forest tight end Cam Serigne has a pair of reliable hands that the Lions have been missing but lacks the thrilling athleticism of an Eric Ebron or Luke Willson. Kansas State defensive tackle Will Geary tore up the Big 12 for three seasons, earning First Team All-Big 12 in back-to-back-to-back seasons. And cornerback Dane Cruikshank is a third or fourth-round prospect the Lions hosted for a meeting earlier in April.
So not only does PFF’s seven-round mock address nearly every Lions need, but they get value out of literally every single pick. Sadly, this will never happen, but one can dream.
Grade PFF’s 7-round mock for the Lions
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