The Detroit Lions will host the Minnesota Vikings for a Week 18 battle between division rivals. In what figures to be a fun way to close out the regular season, the player prop betting options are a bit limited, but the folks over at DraftKings Sportsbook have provided us with some interesting things to consider for the game.
While the Lions’ top priority is winning this game, they do have a couple of individual milestones that could be achieved, and if they can manage to accomplish both, they’ll surely seize that opportunity.
“I have been a part of that before,” Johnson said of being part of a staff that calls plays to help players achieve milestones. “Absolutely, where you are aware (that) if a guy’s close to a certain milestone to try to help them get there and give them opportunities. And, ultimately, they’ve got to come through and make the plays on the field for you. But yeah, that’s something I’ve been around before. Everyone’s got team goals and also, individual goals, and we as coaches, we’re here to help them achieve both.”
With that in mind, let’s take a look at some of our favorite prop bets for this game.
Jahmyr Gibbs, OVER 55.5 rushing yards (-115)
Lions running backs Jahmyr Gibbs (915 rushing yards) and David Montgomery (975 rushing yards) are on the verge of accomplishing something remarkable. If the duo both manage to break the 1000 rushing yards mark, they would be just the sixth running back duo to both break the mark in NFL history.
Gibbs has the longest road—needing 85 rushing yards—but the last time he faced the Vikings, he ran for 80 yards, averaging an impressive 5.3 yards per carry. Look for the Lions to lean on the rookie once again, not just because of the milestone, but because the Vikings haven’t shown they have an answer for him yet.
Josh Reynolds, Anytime touchdown (+330)
Josh Reynolds has just five receiving touchdowns on the season and hasn’t reached the end zone in the past three games. So why recommend him here?
Because Reynolds has a $250,000 incentive bonus in his contract if he scores six touchdowns this season.
You can guarantee that he, quarterback Jared Goff, and offensive coordinator Ben Johnson are aware of this, and if they get the opportunity to get Reynolds paid, they’ll give it a shot. If the Lions manage to get in the red zone, expect them to have a play or three designed to get Reynolds the ball in the blue paint.
Of note: Reynolds also has a 600 receiving yards incentive bonus for another $250,000, of which he is just 36 yards away from achieving, but that betting option is unavailable at the time of the publishing of this article.
Ty Chandler, UNDER 49.5 rushing yards (-115)
Over the last three weeks, the Vikings have turned to Ty Chandler as their lead running back. In Chandler’s first game as a starter, Minnesota faced the Cincinnati Bengals (28th run defense in DVOA), and with Alexander Mattison unavailable due to injury, Chandler ran for 132 yards in an overtime loss.
In the two games since, Mattison has returned from injury and the pair are splitting touches 60/40 in favor of Chandler, but the results have been underwhelming. As a team, they are averaging just 42.5 yards on the ground per game, while Chandler only managed 17 rushing yards against the Lions (third-best DVOA run defense) and 40 rushing yards against the Packers (26th DVOA run defense).
Meanwhile, the Lions have been playing lights out in defending the run. Not only are they third in DVOA, but they have only allowed 53.7 rushing yards per game over the last three weeks, the best in the NFL.
With Detroit being stout against the run and the Vikings showing they will move away from it quickly if it’s not working, take the under here.